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Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000828) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000828) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

东莞发展(控股)有限公司's (SZSE: 000828) 财务状况太模糊了,无法与当前的股价势头联系起来:该股会发生什么?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/18 22:11

Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s (SZSE:000828) stock is up by a considerable 20% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s ROE today.

东莞发展(控股)(深圳证券交易所代码:000828)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了20%。但是,我们想知道该公司财务状况不稳定是否会对当前的股价势头产生任何不利影响。特别是,我们今天将关注东莞发展(控股)的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

ROE或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得的投资回报的有用工具。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for Dongguan Development (Holdings)

查看我们对东莞发展(控股)的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dongguan Development (Holdings) is:

因此,根据上述公式,东莞发展(控股)的投资回报率为:

5.4% = CN¥853m ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

5.4% = 8.53亿元人民币 ÷ 160亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.05元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,根据公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 的金额及其有效性,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润保留率高的公司比不具备这些属性的公司的增长率更高。

Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

东莞发展(控股)的收益增长和5.4%的投资回报率

At first glance, Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 5.6%, we may spare it some thought. But Dongguan Development (Holdings) saw a five year net income decline of 5.4% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,东莞发展(控股)的投资回报率看起来并不十分乐观。但是,鉴于该公司的投资回报率与5.6%的行业平均投资回报率相似,我们可以不加思索。但是东莞发展(控股)在过去五年中五年净收入下降了5.4%。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。因此,这在某种程度上解释了收益的萎缩。

So, as a next step, we compared Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 3.8% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将东莞发展(控股)的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以3.8%的速度增长。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000828 Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2023
SZSE: 000828 过去的收益增长 2023 年 12 月 19 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Dongguan Development (Holdings) fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。与其他公司相比,东莞发展(控股)的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Dongguan Development (Holdings) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

东莞发展(控股)是否有效使用其留存收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), Dongguan Development (Holdings) has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管东莞发展(控股)的三年派息率中位数正常为32%(保留了68%的利润),但如上所示,东莞发展(控股)的收益有所下降。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Additionally, Dongguan Development (Holdings) has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,东莞发展(控股)已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着即使收益增长微乎其微,公司的管理层也决心派发股息。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 5 risks we have identified for Dongguan Development (Holdings).

总的来说,我们对东莞发展(控股)的表现有点矛盾。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为东莞发展(控股)确定的5种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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