The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Gain Plus Holdings Limited (HKG:9900) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.
View our latest analysis for Gain Plus Holdings
Examining Cashflow Against Gain Plus Holdings' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to September 2023, Gain Plus Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.30. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of HK$82m, well over the HK$45.8m it reported in profit. Gain Plus Holdings did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Gain Plus Holdings.
Our Take On Gain Plus Holdings' Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Gain Plus Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Gain Plus Holdings' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Gain Plus Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Gain Plus Holdings and you'll want to know about this.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Gain Plus Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
尽管数据良好,但Gain Plus Holdings Limited(HKG: 9900)上周公布的财报似乎令市场不知所措。我们进行了一些分析以找出原因,并认为投资者可能遗漏了收益中包含的一些令人鼓舞的因素。
在截至2023年9月的十二个月中,Gain Plus Holdings的应计比率为-0.30。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,该公司报告的自由现金流为8200万港元,远远超过其公布的4580万港元的利润。Gain Plus Holdings的自由现金流确实同比下降,这并不理想,就像辛普森没有场地管理员威利的剧集一样。
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Gain Plus Holdings的资产负债表分析。
我们对Gain Plus Holdings利润表现的看法
令股东高兴的是,Gain Plus Holdings产生了充足的自由现金流来支持其法定利润数字。基于这一观察,我们认为Gain Plus Holdings的法定利润实际上可能低估了其盈利潜力!最重要的是,其每股收益在过去一年中以极其惊人的速度增长。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果您想进一步了解Gain Plus Holdings作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。你可能会有兴趣知道,我们发现了Gain Plus Holdings的1个警告信号,你会想知道的。
今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解Gain Plus Holdings利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。 Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。