There wouldn't be many who think Ameren Corporation's (NYSE:AEE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 17x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Ameren has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Ameren
NYSE:AEE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ameren.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ameren would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's bottom line. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 28% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.5% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Ameren's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On Ameren's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Ameren's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ameren (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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