With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12x Sino Land Company Limited (HKG:83) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Sino Land's negative earnings growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. It might be that many expect the company's earnings to strengthen positively despite the tough market conditions, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Enough Growth For Sino Land?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Sino Land's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.1% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 181% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.1% per annum as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sino Land is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sino Land currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Sino Land.
You might be able to find a better investment than Sino Land. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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