You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.8x Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300468) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the IT companies in China have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information
How Has Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Performed Recently?
Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.2%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 17% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 48% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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