The Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures Limited (HKG:1442) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 27% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.9x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.4% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' P/E
Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures Limited(HKG: 1442)的股价在上个月表现非常糟糕,大幅下跌了25%。过去30天的下跌结束了股东艰难的一年,当时股价下跌了27%。
即使在价格大幅下跌之后,与香港市场相比,Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的29.9倍市盈率(或 “市盈率”)仍可能使其看起来像是强劲的抛售。在香港,约有一半公司的市盈率低于9倍,甚至市盈率低于4倍也很常见。但是,市盈率可能相当高是有原因的,需要进一步调查以确定其是否合理。
有鉴于此,令人震惊的是,Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的市盈率高于其他大多数公司。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近所表示的要看涨得多,他们不愿意以任何价格抛售股票。如果市盈率降至更符合近期增长率的水平,现有股东很有可能为未来的失望做好准备。
Infinity Logistics and Transt Ventures 市盈率的底线
Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的股价可能已经回落,但其市盈率仍在高位上涨。通常,在做出投资决策时,我们谨慎行事,不要过多地解读市盈率,尽管这可以充分揭示其他市场参与者对公司的看法。
我们对Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的审查显示,其三年收益趋势对其高市盈率的影响没有我们预期的那么大,因为它们看起来比当前的市场预期还要糟糕。当我们看到收益疲软,增长速度慢于市场增长时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,从而降低高市盈率。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则很难接受这些价格的合理性。
在你采取下一步行动之前,你应该了解 Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures 的 3 个警告信号(1 个有点令人担忧!)这是我们发现的。