With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.5x Swire Properties Limited (HKG:1972) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Swire Properties as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Swire Properties
Keen to find out how analysts think Swire Properties' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Growth For Swire Properties?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Swire Properties would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 38%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 6.9% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Swire Properties is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Swire Properties' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Swire Properties (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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