Jiangxi Bank (HKG:1916) Stock Falls 8.8% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend
Jiangxi Bank (HKG:1916) Stock Falls 8.8% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend
Some stocks are best avoided. We don't wish catastrophic capital loss on anyone. For example, we sympathize with anyone who was caught holding Jiangxi Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:1916) during the five years that saw its share price drop a whopping 88%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 22% in the last 90 days. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.
最好避开一些股票。我们不希望任何人遭受灾难性的资本损失。例如,我们对任何在股价暴跌88%的五年中被抓获持有江西银行股份有限公司(HKG: 1916)的人表示同情。股东们最近的表现更加艰难,股价在过去90天中下跌了22%。在这种情况下,我们真的对股东有同感。这很好地提醒了多元化的重要性,无论如何,值得记住的是,生活中存在的不仅仅是金钱。
Since Jiangxi Bank has shed HK$422m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由于江西银行在过去7天内已将市值减少了4.22亿港元,让我们看看长期下跌是否是由该企业的经济推动的。
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Bank
查看我们对江西银行的最新分析
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间推移的变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度随着时间的推移而发生了怎样的变化。
Looking back five years, both Jiangxi Bank's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 21% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 35% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 3.13.
回顾五年,江西银行的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降21%。读者应注意,在此期间,股价的下跌速度快于每股收益,每年为35%。这意味着当今市场对该业务更加谨慎。不太乐观的情绪反映在其目前的市盈率3.13上。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图描绘了 EPS 随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片显示确切的数值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Jiangxi Bank, it has a TSR of -86% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。以江西银行为例,过去5年的股东总回报率为-86%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While the broader market lost about 9.7% in the twelve months, Jiangxi Bank shareholders did even worse, losing 16% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 13% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangxi Bank (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约9.7%,但江西银行股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了16%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。但是,去年的亏损并不像投资者在过去五年中遭受的每年13%的亏损那么严重。我们需要看到关键指标的持续改善,然后才能激起极大的热情。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。比如风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了江西银行的2个警告标志(其中1个有点令人担忧!)你应该知道。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
对于那些喜欢寻找中奖投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费名单可能只是门票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。