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Is Nanjing Tanker (SHSE:601975) A Risky Investment?

Is Nanjing Tanker (SHSE:601975) A Risky Investment?

南京油轮(上海证券交易所股票代码:601975)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/28 19:27

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Nanjing Tanker Corporation (SHSE:601975) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,南京油轮公司(SHSE: 601975)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

View our latest analysis for Nanjing Tanker

查看我们对南京油轮的最新分析

What Is Nanjing Tanker's Debt?

南京油轮的债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nanjing Tanker had CN¥1.86b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥2.84b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥978.2m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图表显示,南京油轮在2023年9月有18.6亿元人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同。但是,它确实有28.4亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为9.782亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601975 Debt to Equity History December 29th 2023
SHSE: 601975 2023 年 12 月 29 日债务与股本的比率记录

How Strong Is Nanjing Tanker's Balance Sheet?

南京油轮的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nanjing Tanker had liabilities of CN¥1.12b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.77b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.84b as well as receivables valued at CN¥965.7m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥914.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,南京油轮的负债为11.2亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为17.7亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有28.4亿元人民币的现金以及价值9.657亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有9.144亿元人民币 更多 流动资产大于总负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Nanjing Tanker could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Nanjing Tanker boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种短期流动性表明,由于其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘,南京油轮很可能会轻松还清债务。简而言之,南京油轮拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Nanjing Tanker has boosted its EBIT by 62%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nanjing Tanker can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我们很高兴地报告,南京油轮已将其息税前利润提高了62%,从而减少了对未来债务偿还的担忧。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定南京油轮能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Nanjing Tanker has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Nanjing Tanker produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管南京油轮的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,南京油轮产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的68%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nanjing Tanker has CN¥978.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 62% over the last year. So is Nanjing Tanker's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Nanjing Tanker, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,南京油轮的净现金为9.782亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。它的息税前利润比去年增长了62%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么南京油轮的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此,如果你对南京油轮感兴趣,你很可能想点击这里查看其每股收益历史的互动图表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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