When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider Theme International Holdings Limited (HKG:990) as an attractive investment with its 4.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Theme International Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Theme International Holdings
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Theme International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Theme International Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 29% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 582% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Theme International Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Theme International Holdings currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Theme International Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Theme International Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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有鉴于此,奇怪的是,Theme International Holdings的市盈率低于大多数其他公司。看来大多数投资者不相信该公司能够维持其最近的增长率。
关键要点
我们可以说,市盈率的力量主要不是作为估值工具,而是衡量当前投资者情绪和未来预期。
我们已经确定,Theme International Holdings目前的市盈率远低于预期,因为其最近三年的增长高于更广泛的市场预期。当我们看到强劲的收益和快于市场的增长速度时,我们假设潜在风险可能会给市盈率带来巨大压力。如果最近的中期收益趋势持续下去,至少价格风险看起来很低,但投资者似乎认为未来的收益可能会出现很大的波动。
你需要时刻注意风险,例如——Theme International Holdings有1个我们认为你应该注意的警告信号。