We Think Shenyang Chemical Industry (SZSE:000698) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
We Think Shenyang Chemical Industry (SZSE:000698) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000698) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,沈阳化工股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000698)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
Check out our latest analysis for Shenyang Chemical Industry
查看我们对沈阳化工的最新分析
What Is Shenyang Chemical Industry's Net Debt?
沈阳化工的净负债是多少?
As you can see below, Shenyang Chemical Industry had CN¥2.81b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.56b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.25b.
如下所示,截至2023年9月,沈阳化工有28.1亿元人民币的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。另一方面,它拥有15.6亿元的现金,净负债约为12.5亿元人民币。
How Strong Is Shenyang Chemical Industry's Balance Sheet?
沈阳化工的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenyang Chemical Industry had liabilities of CN¥3.39b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.30b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.56b and CN¥1.01b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根据上次报告的资产负债表,沈阳化工在12个月内到期的负债为33.9亿元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为13.0亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为15.6亿元人民币,还有价值10.1亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出21.2亿元人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Shenyang Chemical Industry is worth CN¥3.80b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shenyang Chemical Industry's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
这种赤字还不错,因为沈阳化工的市值为380亿元人民币,因此,如果有需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是沈阳化工的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。
In the last year Shenyang Chemical Industry had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 29%, to CN¥4.9b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
去年,沈阳化工在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了29%,至49亿元人民币。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Shenyang Chemical Industry's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥742m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥262m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenyang Chemical Industry you should know about.
在过去的十二个月中,沈阳化工不仅收入下滑,而且还产生了负的息税前收益(EBIT)。事实上,按息税前利润水平计算,它损失了相当可观的7.42亿加元。考虑到这一点,除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法修复。另一个需要谨慎的原因是,在过去的十二个月中,自由现金流为负2.62亿元人民币。因此,简而言之,这是一只非常有风险的股票。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一个你应该知道的沈阳化工警告标志。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。
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