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Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒(深圳证券交易所代码:000869)似乎相当明智地使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  01/05 21:25

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000869)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或使用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。归根结底,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有地离开。但是,更常见(但成本仍然很高)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可能是一个非常好的工具。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

View our latest analysis for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine

查看我们对烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的最新分析

What Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Net Debt?

烟台张裕先锋酒业的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had debt of CN¥540.5m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥753.2m over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.33b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒截至2023年9月底的债务为5.405亿元人民币,较一年7.532亿元人民币有所减少。但是,它确实有18.7亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为13.3亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000869 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2024
SZSE: 000869 2024 年 1 月 6 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Balance Sheet?

烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had liabilities of CN¥1.92b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥201.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.87b as well as receivables valued at CN¥523.4m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥270.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒在12个月内到期的负债为19.2亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为2.01亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有18.7亿元人民币的现金以及价值5.234亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出2.707亿元人民币 负债。

Having regard to Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥13.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到烟台张裕先锋酒业的规模,其流动资产与总负债的平衡似乎良好。因此,尽管很难想象这家137亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。简而言之,烟台张裕先锋酒业拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

On the other hand, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's EBIT dived 19%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

另一方面,烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的息税前利润比去年下降了19%。我们认为,这种表现如果经常重演,很可能会给股票带来困难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。烟台张裕先锋酒业的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。当Daft Punk音乐会的节拍下降时,这种强劲的现金转换让我们和观众一样兴奋。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has CN¥1.33b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 122% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥721m. So we don't have any problem with Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

尽管调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,但在本案中,烟台张裕先锋酒业的净现金为13.3亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的122%转换为自由现金流,带来了7.21亿元人民币的收入。因此,我们对烟台张裕先锋酒业使用债务没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。请注意,烟台张裕先锋酒业在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,你应该知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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