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Wharf Real Estate Investment (HKG:1997 Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 7.8% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 39%

Wharf Real Estate Investment (HKG:1997 Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 7.8% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 39%

九龙仓房地产投资(HKG: 1997)股东蒙受进一步损失,本周股价下跌7.8%,使五年跌幅达到39%
Simply Wall St ·  01/06 19:15

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited (HKG:1997) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 50% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 46%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 18% in the last three months.

对于许多人来说,投资的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。因此,我们不会责怪九龙仓房地产投资有限公司(HKG: 1997)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在五年内下跌了50%。我们还注意到,该股去年表现不佳,股价下跌了46%。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了18%。

After losing 7.8% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在上周下跌7.8%之后,值得研究该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。

Check out our latest analysis for Wharf Real Estate Investment

查看我们对九龙仓房地产投资的最新分析

Wharf Real Estate Investment isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

九龙仓房地产投资目前没有盈利,因此大多数分析师会着眼于收入的增长,以了解基础业务的增长速度。无利可图的公司的股东通常期望强劲的收入增长。一些公司愿意推迟盈利以更快地增加收入,但在这种情况下,人们确实预计收入会有良好的增长。

In the last five years Wharf Real Estate Investment saw its revenue shrink by 6.0% per year. While far from catastrophic that is not good. The share price decline at a rate of 8% per year is disappointing. Unfortunately, though, it makes sense given the lack of either profits or revenue growth. Without profits, its hard to see how shareholders win if the revenue keeps falling.

在过去的五年中,九龙仓房地产投资的收入每年下降6.0%。虽然这远非灾难性,但这并不好。股价每年以8%的速度下跌令人失望。但不幸的是,鉴于缺乏利润或收入增长,这是有道理的。没有利润,如果收入持续下降,就很难看出股东如何获胜。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描绘了收入和收入随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1997 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 7th 2024
香港交易所:1997 年收益及收入增长 2024 年 1 月 7 日

Wharf Real Estate Investment is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Wharf Real Estate Investment will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

九龙仓房地产投资为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师都试图预测未来的利润水平。因此,看看分析师认为九龙仓房地产投资未来将获得多少收益很有意义(免费的分析师共识估计)

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Wharf Real Estate Investment, it has a TSR of -39% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报率 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就九龙仓房地产投资而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为-39%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, Wharf Real Estate Investment shareholders did even worse, losing 44% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Wharf Real Estate Investment has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约13%,但九龙仓房地产投资股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了44%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临7%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,冒险吧——九龙仓房地产投资有1个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。

Of course Wharf Real Estate Investment may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,九龙仓房地产投资可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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