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Shanghai New World Co., Ltd (SHSE:600628) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Shanghai New World Co., Ltd (SHSE:600628) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

上海新世界有限公司(SHSE: 600628)股票走强但基本面看起来不确定:未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  01/10 19:09

Shanghai New World's (SHSE:600628) stock is up by a considerable 12% over the past week. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai New World's ROE today.

上海新世界(上海证券交易所代码:600628)的股票在过去一周上涨了12%。但是,我们想知道该公司财务状况不稳定是否会对当前的股价势头产生任何不利影响。特别是,我们今天将关注上海新世界的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得的投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了该公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai New World

查看我们对上海新世界的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

投资回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai New World is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海新世界的投资回报率为:

0.8% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥4.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

0.8% = 3200万元人民币 ÷ 42亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.01.

“回报” 是每年的利润。因此,这意味着该公司每投资1元人民币,就会产生0.01元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,ROE衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。我们现在需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,这样我们就可以了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切都保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Shanghai New World's Earnings Growth And 0.8% ROE

上海新世界的收益增长和0.8%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Shanghai New World's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 8.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 47% seen by Shanghai New World over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很明显,上海新世界的投资回报率相当低。即使与8.5%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当惨淡。在这种情况下,上海新世界在过去五年中净收入大幅下降了47%,这并不奇怪。但是,可能还有其他因素导致收益下降。例如,该企业的资本分配不佳,或者该公司的派息率非常高。

That being said, we compared Shanghai New World's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 11% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将上海新世界的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以11%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600628 Past Earnings Growth January 11th 2024
SHSE: 600628 过去的收益增长 2024 年 1 月 11 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai New World fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。与其他公司相比,上海新世界的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Shanghai New World Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海新世界是否有效地将其利润再投资?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Shanghai New World has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为31%(保留了69%的利润),但如上所示,上海新世界的收益却有所下降。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

In addition, Shanghai New World has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,上海新世界至少十年来一直在派发股息,这表明即使以牺牲业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai New World can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Shanghai New World.

总的来说,我们认为上海新世界的表演可以有多种解读。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为上海新世界确定的两种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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