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Investors in TravelSky Technology (HKG:696) Have Unfortunately Lost 33% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in TravelSky Technology (HKG:696) Have Unfortunately Lost 33% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,TravelSky Technology(HKG: 696)的投资者在过去五年中损失了33%
Simply Wall St ·  01/16 23:29

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in TravelSky Technology Limited (HKG:696), since the last five years saw the share price fall 37%. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 24% in the last year.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。目前,一些股东可能会质疑他们对TravelSky Technology Limited(HKG: 696)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了37%。一些最近的买家可能也感到担忧,该股去年下跌了24%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

Check out our latest analysis for TravelSky Technology

查看我们对 TravelSky 科技的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

尽管市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是基本的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the five years over which the share price declined, TravelSky Technology's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 10% each year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 9% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

在股价下跌的五年中,TravelSky Technology的每股收益(EPS)每年下降10%。值得注意的是,股价每年下跌9%,与每股收益的变化非常接近。这意味着市场对该股的看法相当稳定。相反,股价变化反映了每股收益的变化。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片发现确切的数值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:696 Earnings Per Share Growth January 17th 2024
香港交易所:696 年每股收益增长 2024 年 1 月 17 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of TravelSky Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。查看这张TravelSky Technology收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,更深入地了解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for TravelSky Technology the TSR over the last 5 years was -33%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,对于TravelSky Technology而言,过去5年的股东总回报率为-33%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, TravelSky Technology shareholders did even worse, losing 24% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how TravelSky Technology scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约17%,但TravelSky Technology的股东表现更糟,损失了24%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临6%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。在决定是否喜欢当前股价之前,请查看TravelSky Technology在这三个估值指标上的得分情况。

But note: TravelSky Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:TravelSky Technology可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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