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CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their 18% Return Over the Last Year

CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their 18% Return Over the Last Year

芝加哥商品交易所集团(纳斯达克股票代码:CME)的投资者将对去年18%的回报感到满意
Simply Wall St ·  01/17 10:18

On average, over time, stock markets tend to rise higher. This makes investing attractive. But if when you choose to buy stocks, some of them will be below average performers. For example, the CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CME), share price is up over the last year, but its gain of 13% trails the market return. Having said that, the longer term returns aren't so impressive, with stock gaining just 3.3% in three years.

平均而言,随着时间的推移,股市往往会上涨。这使得投资具有吸引力。但是,如果你选择买入股票,其中一些股票的表现将低于平均水平。例如,芝加哥商品交易所集团公司(纳斯达克股票代码:CME)的股价在去年上涨,但其13%的涨幅落后于市场回报。话虽如此,长期回报并不那么令人印象深刻,股票在三年内仅上涨了3.3%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 1 year and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去一年的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报同步变化。

See our latest analysis for CME Group

查看我们对芝加哥商品交易所集团的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是能合理地反映企业的价值。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

CME Group was able to grow EPS by 14% in the last twelve months. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 13% increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. We don't think its coincidental that the share price is growing at a similar rate to the earnings per share.

芝加哥商品交易所集团在过去十二个月中每股收益增长了14%。每股收益的增长相当接近股价的13%的涨幅。这表明,在那段时间内,公司周围的市场情绪没有太大变化。我们认为,股价以与每股收益相似的速度增长并非巧合。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(一段时间内)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:CME Earnings Per Share Growth January 17th 2024
纳斯达克GS:芝加哥商品交易所每股收益增长 2024 年 1 月 17 日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on CME Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们认为,内部人士在去年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于芝加哥商品交易所集团收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of CME Group, it has a TSR of 18% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就芝加哥商品交易所集团而言,其过去一年的股东回报率为18%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

CME Group provided a TSR of 18% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 5%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - CME Group has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

芝加哥商品交易所集团全年股东回报率为18%(包括股息)。这相当接近更广泛的市场回报。大多数人会对收益感到满意,而今年的回报率实际上好于五年的平均回报率(5%),这很有帮助。即使股价增长从现在开始放缓,从长远来看,这很可能是值得关注的业务。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,冒险吧——芝加哥商品交易所集团有两个警告信号,我们认为您应该注意。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想和管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司清单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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