There wouldn't be many who think New Fortress Energy Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 16x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
New Fortress Energy certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like New Fortress Energy's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 38% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that New Fortress Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On New Fortress Energy's P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that New Fortress Energy currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - New Fortress Energy has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than New Fortress Energy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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