The IBI Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1547) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 17% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think IBI Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for IBI Group Holdings
SEHK:1547 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024
What Does IBI Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, IBI Group Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on IBI Group Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is IBI Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, IBI Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 34% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that IBI Group Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does IBI Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now IBI Group Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
The fact that IBI Group Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Having said that, be aware IBI Group Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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IBI Group Holdings目前的市销率与该行业其他公司持平,这一事实令我们感到惊讶,因为其近期收入在中期内一直在下降,而该行业仍将增长。在行业预测不断增长的背景下,当我们看到收入倒退时,预计股价可能会下跌,从而使温和的市销率走低是有道理的。除非近期中期情况有所改善,否则预计公司股东将面临艰难时期是没有错的。
话虽如此,请注意,IBI Group Holdings在我们的投资分析中显示出2个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视。