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Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd (SZSE:002498) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd (SZSE:002498) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

青岛汉和电缆有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002498)似乎相当明智地使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  01/19 21:41

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002498) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理陆松年(得到Charlie Munger的支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会永久性地损失资本。”当你考虑一家公司有多大风险时,考虑到其资产负债表是再自然不过的了,因为当一家企业倒闭时,通常都会涉及债务。我们看到,汉缆股份有限公司(SZSE:002498)在其业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是这些债务是否使公司变得有风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业成长的一种工具,但如果一个企业无法偿还贷款,那么它就存在于贷款人的威胁之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人就可以控制企业。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,企业必须以低价筹集新的股本资金,从而永久性地稀释股东的股份。话虽如此,最常见的情况是企业合理管理其债务-并且从中受益。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平,两者结合起来。

Check out our latest analysis for Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd

请查看我们最新对汉缆股份的分析

What Is Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's Net Debt?

汉缆股份净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd had CN¥1.11b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥1.15b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.43b in cash, so it actually has CN¥328.3m net cash.

你可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示,2023年9月,汉缆股份的债务为11.1亿人民币,比一年前的11.5亿人民币有所减少。然而,其资产负债表显示公司持有14.3亿人民币现金,实际上拥有3,2830万人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002498 Debt to Equity History January 20th 2024
SZSE:002498资产负债率历史记录2024年1月20日

How Strong Is Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's Balance Sheet?

汉缆股份资产负债表如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.61b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥143.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.43b and CN¥4.55b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥3.23b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们从最近的资产负债表中看到,汉缆股份有26.1亿人民币的负债需在一年内偿还,以及1.433亿人民币未来一年要偿还。另一方面,它持有14.3亿人民币和45.5亿人民币的应收账款需在一年内偿还。因此,它实际上拥有32.3亿人民币。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This excess liquidity suggests that Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过量的流动性表明汉缆股份在处理债务方面采取了谨慎的态度。因为它拥有充足的资产,所以不太可能遇到与债权人的麻烦。简而言之,汉缆股份持有现金超过债务的事实,可以认为是其能够安全地管理债务的很好迹象。

The good news is that Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd has increased its EBIT by 5.1% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

好消息是,汉缆股份在过去12个月中增加了5.1%的利润,这应该可以缓解有关偿还债务的担忧。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是最显而易见的地方。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定汉缆股份是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的想法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告非常有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润不足以解决问题。尽管汉缆股份在资产负债表上有净现金,但观察企业将其利润前息税收入(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的情况仍然很有趣,因为这将影响到公司的管理债务能力。查看最近三年的情况,汉缆股份的自由现金流占其EBIt的比例为21%,这比我们预期的要弱。这种弱的现金转换能力使得债务处理更加困难。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd has net cash of CN¥328.3m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 5.1% in the last twelve months. So is Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然我们理解那些担心债务问题的投资者,但您应该记住,汉缆股份有3283万人民币的净现金,并且其流动资产多于负债。此外,它在过去12个月中增加了5.1%的EBIT。那么,汉缆股份的债务是否存在风险?对我们来说似乎不是这样。毋庸置疑,我们最了解资产负债表的债务。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现了关于汉缆股份的1个警告信号,在您投资之前务必注意它。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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