Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688658) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, Youcare Pharmaceutical Group may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 49.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For example, consider that Youcare Pharmaceutical Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group
SHSE:688658 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 22nd 2024 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Youcare Pharmaceutical Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 70% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 66% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 43% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Youcare Pharmaceutical Group is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Youcare Pharmaceutical Group's very lofty P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Youcare Pharmaceutical Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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