share_log

Great Eagle Holdings' (HKG:41 Five-year Decrease in Earnings Delivers Investors With a 54% Loss

Great Eagle Holdings' (HKG:41 Five-year Decrease in Earnings Delivers Investors With a 54% Loss

鹰君控股(HKG:41)五年收益下降使投资者亏损54%
Simply Wall St ·  01/22 18:44

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. Zooming in on an example, the Great Eagle Holdings Limited (HKG:41) share price dropped 68% in the last half decade. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 38% over the last twelve months. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 11% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 7.5% in the same timeframe.

从统计学上讲,长期投资是一项有利可图的举措。但在此过程中,一些股票将表现不佳。举一个例子,鹰君控股有限公司(HKG: 41)的股价在过去五年中下跌了68%。对于在接近顶部买入的股东,我们当然有同感。而且我们怀疑长期信徒是唯一担心的持有者,因为股价在过去十二个月中下跌了38%。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了11%。但是,有人可能会争辩说,价格受到了大盘的影响,同期股价下跌了7.5%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

Check out our latest analysis for Great Eagle Holdings

查看我们对鹰君控股的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Great Eagle Holdings became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

鹰君控股在过去五年中实现了盈利。大多数人会认为这是一件好事,因此股价下跌是违反直觉的。其他指标可以更好地解释股价走势。

We note that the dividend has fallen in the last five years, so that may have contributed to the share price decline. The revenue decline of 1.8% per year wouldn't have helped. So it seems weak revenue and dividend trends may have influenced the share price.

我们注意到,在过去五年中,股息有所下降,因此这可能是股价下跌的原因。每年1.8%的收入下降无济于事。因此,看来疲软的收入和股息趋势可能影响了股价。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:41 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 22nd 2024
SEHK: 41 2024年1月22日收益和收入增长

This free interactive report on Great Eagle Holdings' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查Great Eagle Holdings的股票,这份关于Great Eagle Holdings资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Great Eagle Holdings, it has a TSR of -54% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就鹰君控股而言,其在过去5年的股东总回报率为-54%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 21% in the twelve months, Great Eagle Holdings shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 9% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Great Eagle Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Great Eagle Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约21%,但Great Eagle Holdings股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了34%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临9%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解鹰君控股,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了鹰君控股的 4 个警告信号(1 个可能很严重!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。

We will like Great Eagle Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢Great Eagle Holdings。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发