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Is Sanquan Food (SZSE:002216) A Risky Investment?

Is Sanquan Food (SZSE:002216) A Risky Investment?

三全食品(深圳证券交易所:002216)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/22 19:39

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Sanquan Food Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002216) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,三全食品有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002216)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:债务创造了多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代一家有能力以高回报率进行再投资的公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是综合考虑其现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Sanquan Food

查看我们对三全食品的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Sanquan Food Carry?

三全食品背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Sanquan Food had CN¥250.1m of debt, up from CN¥150.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.54b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.29b net cash position.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,三全食品的债务为2.501亿元人民币,高于去年同期的1.501亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但另一方面,它也有15.4亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为12.9亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002216 Debt to Equity History January 23rd 2024
SZSE: 002216 2024 年 1 月 23 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Sanquan Food's Balance Sheet?

三全食品的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sanquan Food had liabilities of CN¥2.56b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥256.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.54b as well as receivables valued at CN¥589.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥679.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,三全食品在12个月内到期的负债为25.6亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为2.56亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有15.4亿元人民币的现金以及价值5.89亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出6.793亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded Sanquan Food shares are worth a total of CN¥10.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Sanquan Food boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由于公开交易的三全食品股票总价值为107亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管负债可观,但三全食品拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

Sanquan Food's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sanquan Food can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

去年,三全食品的息税前利润相当平稳,但鉴于它没有大量债务,这应该不是问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定三全食品能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Sanquan Food has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Sanquan Food recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管三全食品的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在最近三年中,三全食品录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的69%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Sanquan Food has CN¥1.29b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥268m, being 69% of its EBIT. So we don't think Sanquan Food's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Sanquan Food is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...

尽管查看公司的总负债总是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,三全食品的净现金为12.9亿元人民币。它以2.68亿元人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的69%。因此,我们认为三全食品使用债务没有风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,三全食品在我们的投资分析中显示出两个警告信号,其中一个信号意义重大...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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