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Are Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Company Limited's (SHSE:601999) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?

Are Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Company Limited's (SHSE:601999) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?

北方联合出版传媒(集团)有限公司(SHSE: 601999)的财务状况喜忧参半是否推动了负面情绪?
Simply Wall St ·  01/24 00:44

With its stock down 16% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) (SHSE:601999). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s ROE in this article.

由于其股票在过去一个月中下跌了16%,人们很容易忽视北方联合出版传媒(集团)(SHSE:601999)。但是,我们决定研究公司的财务状况,以确定它们是否与价格下跌有关。股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,因此我们决定更多地关注公司的财务业绩。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究北方联合出版传媒(集团)的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

Check out our latest analysis for Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)

查看我们对北方联合出版与媒体(集团)的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) is:

因此,根据上述公式,北方联合出版与媒体(集团)的投资回报率为:

3.9% = CN¥98m ÷ CN¥2.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

3.9% = 9800万元人民币 ÷ 25亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.04.

“回报” 是每年的利润。因此,这意味着公司每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.04元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

北方联合出版传媒(集团)的收益增长和3.9%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.1%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 16% seen by Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很明显,北方联合出版传媒(集团)的投资回报率相当低。即使与6.1%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当惨淡。因此,说北方联合出版传媒(集团)五年净收入下降16%可能是其投资回报率降低的结果,这可能没有错。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如,该企业的资本分配不佳,或者该公司的派息率非常高。

However, when we compared Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 1.6% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将北方联合出版传媒(集团)的增长与该行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但该行业同期的收益增长了1.6%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601999 Past Earnings Growth January 24th 2024
SHSE: 601999 过去的收益增长 2024 年 1 月 24 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。与其他公司相比,北方联合出版传媒(集团)的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

北方联合出版传媒(集团)是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (where it is retaining 70% of its profits), Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为30%(保留了70%的利润),但北方联合出版传媒(集团)的收益却有所下降,如上所示。看来可能还有其他一些原因可以解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能会下滑。

In addition, Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,北方联合出版传媒(集团)至少十年来一直在派发股息,这表明即使以业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们对北方联合出版传媒(集团)的表现有点矛盾。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以访问我们的 4 种风险来查看我们为北方联合出版传媒(集团)确定的四种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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