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Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688798) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688798) A Risky Investment?

上海艾维尼克科技有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:688798)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/24 19:57

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Awinic Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688798) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,上海艾维尼克科技有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:688798)使用债务。但更重要的问题是:债务创造了多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然很痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd

查看我们对上海亚威尼克科技有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd Carry?

上海艾维尼克科技有限公司背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd had CN¥666.7m of debt, an increase on CN¥571.5m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.30b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.63b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,上海艾维尼克科技有限公司在一年内有6.667亿元人民币的债务,比5.715亿加元人民币有所增加。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有23.0亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有16.3亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688798 Debt to Equity History January 25th 2024
SHSE: 688798 2024 年 1 月 25 日债务与权益比率历史记录

How Strong Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

上海艾维尼克科技有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥858.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥346.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.30b in cash and CN¥90.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.19b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,上海艾维尼克科技有限公司的负债为8.58亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为3.466亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有23.0亿元的现金和9,080万元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出11.9亿元人民币 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种短期流动性表明,由于资产负债表远未紧张,上海艾威尼克科技有限公司可能会轻松还清债务。简而言之,上海艾维尼克科技有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定上海艾威尼克科技有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥2.2b, which is a fall of 5.7%. We would much prefer see growth.

在过去的12个月中,上海艾维尼克科技有限公司在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至22亿元人民币,下降了5.7%。我们更希望看到增长。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd?

那么上海艾维尼克科技有限公司的风险有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And we do note that Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥382m and booked a CN¥216m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥1.63b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd you should know about.

从统计学上讲,亏损的公司比赚钱的公司风险更大。而且我们确实注意到,上海艾维尼克科技有限公司去年出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。同期,它的自由现金流出为负3.82亿元人民币,会计亏损为2.16亿元人民币。鉴于其净现金仅为16.3亿元人民币,如果不能很快达到收支平衡,该公司可能需要筹集更多资金。尽管其资产负债表看起来足够流动,但如果一家公司不定期产生自由现金流,债务总是会让我们有点紧张。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一个你应该知道的上海艾威尼克科技有限公司的警告标志。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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