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Dazhong Transportation (Group) (SHSE:600611) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Lifts 6.3% This Past Week

Dazhong Transportation (Group) (SHSE:600611) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Lifts 6.3% This Past Week

在过去五年中,大众运输(集团)(SHSE: 600611)的收益和股东回报率一直呈下降趋势,但该股上周上涨了6.3%
Simply Wall St ·  01/26 17:44

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600611), since the last five years saw the share price fall 24%. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.3% over the last week.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但是,即使是最好的选股者也只能通过以下方式获胜 一些 选择。目前,一些股东可能会质疑他们对大众运输(集团)有限公司(SHSE: 600611)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了24%。另一方面,股价在上周反弹了6.3%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥410m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,该公司的市值在过去的7天内就增加了4.1亿元人民币,所以让我们看看我们能否确定是什么推动了股东五年的亏损。

Check out our latest analysis for Dazhong Transportation (Group)

查看我们对大众交通(集团)的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Dazhong Transportation (Group) moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

在五年的股价增长中,大众运输(集团)从亏损转为盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可以更好地解释股价走势。

The modest 1.0% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Arguably, the revenue drop of 6.0% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.

1.0%的适度股息收益率不太可能指导该股的市场观点。可以说,在过去的五年中,收入每年下降6.0%,这表明该公司无法长期增长。这可以解释股价疲软的原因。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600611 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 26th 2024
SHSE: 600611 2024 年 1 月 26 日的收益和收入增长

Take a more thorough look at Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解大众交通(集团)的财务状况。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Dazhong Transportation (Group), it has a TSR of -18% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就大众交通(集团)而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为-18%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Dazhong Transportation (Group) shares lost 7.0% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 17%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Dazhong Transportation (Group) better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Dazhong Transportation (Group) (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

尽管看到大众运输(集团)的股价全年下跌7.0%肯定令人失望,但这还不如17%的市场跌幅那么糟糕。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为3%,在过去的十二个月中,回报率似乎有所下降。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解大众交通(集团),我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定了大众交通(集团)的3个警告标志(其中一个不太适合我们),你应该注意这些标志。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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