Ningbo Xusheng Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603305) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, Ningbo Xusheng Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 57x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Ningbo Xusheng Group has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Ningbo Xusheng Group
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Ningbo Xusheng Group's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 124% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 26% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 42% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ningbo Xusheng Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Ningbo Xusheng Group's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Ningbo Xusheng Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ningbo Xusheng Group (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Ningbo Xusheng Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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