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- 中软国际有限公司 (HKG: 354) 的价格合适
The Price Is Right For Chinasoft International Limited (HKG:354)
The Price Is Right For Chinasoft International Limited (HKG:354)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.6x Chinasoft International Limited (HKG:354) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Chinasoft International has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Chinasoft International
![pe-multiple-vs-industry](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240128/0-78891a8d4e8ea24608903457d5235285-0-edab9369a881659465e4fd00d9717d77.png/big)
Is There Enough Growth For Chinasoft International?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chinasoft International would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 55%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 36% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 41% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Chinasoft International's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Chinasoft International's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Chinasoft International's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Chinasoft International, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than Chinasoft International. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
中软国际有限公司(HKG: 354)的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)为21.6倍,目前可能会发出非常看跌的信号,因为几乎一半的香港公司的市盈率低于8倍,甚至市盈率低于4倍也并不罕见。但是,仅按面值计算市盈率是不明智的,因为可以解释为什么市盈率如此之高。
中软国际最近一直在苦苦挣扎,因为其收益的下降速度快于大多数其他公司。一种可能性是市盈率居高不下,因为投资者认为该公司将彻底扭转局面,加速超越市场上的大多数其他公司。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的可行性感到非常担忧。
查看我们对中软国际的最新分析
![pe-multiple-vs-industry](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240128/0-78891a8d4e8ea24608903457d5235285-0-edab9369a881659465e4fd00d9717d77.png/big)
中软国际有足够的增长吗?
为了证明其市盈率是合理的,中软国际需要实现远远超过市场的出色增长。
如果我们回顾一下去年的收益,令人沮丧的是,该公司的利润下降了55%。这意味着从长远来看,其收益也有所下滑,因为在过去三年中,每股收益总共下降了36%。因此,可以公平地说,最近的收益增长对公司来说是不可取的。
展望未来,负责该公司的十二位分析师的估计表明,未来三年收益每年将增长41%。这将大大高于整个市场每年15%的增长预期。
有鉴于此,中软国际的市盈率高于其他大多数公司是可以理解的。显然,股东们并不热衷于转移可能着眼于更繁荣未来的东西。
我们可以从中软国际的市盈率中学到什么?
有人认为,市盈率是衡量某些行业价值的次要指标,但它可能是一个有力的商业情绪指标。
正如我们所怀疑的那样,我们对中软国际分析师预测的审查显示,其优异的盈利前景是其高市盈率的原因。目前,股东们对市盈率感到满意,因为他们非常有信心未来的收益不会受到威胁。在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来会强劲下跌。
始终有必要考虑永远存在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经向中软国际确定了一个警告信号,理解应该是您投资过程的一部分。
你也许能找到比中软国际更好的投资。如果你想选择可能的候选人,可以免费查看这份有趣的公司名单,这些公司的市盈率很低(但已经证明可以增加收益)。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。
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