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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600313)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600313)?

股票下跌和基本面稳健:市场对中农发种业集团有限公司(SHSE: 600313)的看法错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 01:56

With its stock down 14% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group (SHSE:600313). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE in this article.

中农发种业集团(SHSE: 600313)的股票在过去三个月中下跌了14%,很容易被忽视。但是,股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来很有希望。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究中农发种业集团的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group

查看我们对中农发种业集团的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,中农发种业集团的投资回报率为:

12% = CN¥339m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

12% = 3.39亿元人民币 ÷ 27亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.12.

“申报表” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.12元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

中农发种业集团的收益增长和12%的投资回报率的并排比较

To start with, Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 6.9% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group was able to see an impressive net income growth of 66% over the last five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

首先,中农发种业集团的投资回报率似乎可以接受。特别是与6.9%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。可能正因为如此,中农发种业集团在过去五年中实现了令人印象深刻的66%的净收入增长。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益增长产生积极影响。例如,该公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

As a next step, we compared Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 12%.

下一步,我们将中农发种业集团的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,令人高兴的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均增长12%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600313 Past Earnings Growth January 29th 2024
SHSE: 600313 过去的收益增长 2024 年 1 月 29 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。与其他公司相比,中农发种业集团的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中农发种业集团是否在有效利用其利润?

Given that Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group doesn't pay any dividend to its shareholders, we infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

鉴于中农发种业集团没有向股东支付任何股息,我们推断该公司一直在将其所有利润再投资以发展业务。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group.

总体而言,我们对中农发种业集团的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢该公司以高回报率再投资其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致该公司的收益大幅增长。考虑到每股收益如何影响长期股价,如果该公司继续以现有方式增长收益,这可能会对其股价产生积极影响。请记住,股票的价格还取决于感知的风险。因此,在投资任何公司之前,投资者必须随时了解所涉及的风险。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为中农发种业集团确定的1种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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