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The Five-year Loss for Bank of Zhengzhou (HKG:6196) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

The Five-year Loss for Bank of Zhengzhou (HKG:6196) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

郑州银行(HKG: 6196)股东的五年亏损可能是其收益萎缩所致
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 02:39

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example, after five long years the Bank of Zhengzhou Co., Ltd. (HKG:6196) share price is a whole 67% lower. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 21% over the last twelve months. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.4% over the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 4.0% in the same period.

我们认为明智的长期投资是必经之路。但在此过程中,一些股票将表现不佳。例如,在漫长的五年之后,郑州银行股份有限公司(HKG: 6196)的股价下跌了整整67%。对于在接近顶部买入的股东,我们当然有同感。而且我们怀疑长期信徒是唯一担心的持有者,因为股价在过去十二个月中下跌了21%。另一方面,股价在上周反弹了6.4%。活跃的市场本可以帮助推动股价上涨,因为同期股市上涨了4.0%。

While the last five years has been tough for Bank of Zhengzhou shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对郑州银行的股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

Check out our latest analysis for Bank of Zhengzhou

查看我们对郑州银行的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Looking back five years, both Bank of Zhengzhou's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 29% per year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 20% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve.

回顾五年,郑州银行的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降29%。每股收益的下降比20%的复合年股价下跌还要严重。因此,市场此前可能曾预计会下跌,否则预计情况会有所改善。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:6196 Earnings Per Share Growth January 29th 2024
SEHK: 6196 每股收益增长 2024 年 1 月 29 日

This free interactive report on Bank of Zhengzhou's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查郑州银行的收益、收入和现金流,这份关于郑州银行收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么股东总回报(TSR)呢?

We've already covered Bank of Zhengzhou's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Bank of Zhengzhou shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 63%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

我们已经报道了郑州银行的股价走势,但我们还应该提及其股东总回报率(TSR)。可以说,股东总回报率是更完整的回报计算方法,因为它考虑了股息的价值(就好像是再投资一样),以及向股东提供的任何贴现资本的假设价值。分红确实为郑州银行的股东带来了好处,这笔现金支付解释了为什么其在过去5年中63%的股东总亏损没有股价回报率那么糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Bank of Zhengzhou shareholders are down 21% over twelve months, which isn't far from the market return of -20%. Unfortunately, last year's performance is a deterioration of an already poor long term track record, given the loss of 10% per year over the last five years. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Bank of Zhengzhou (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

郑州银行股东在十二个月内下跌了21%,与-20%的市场回报率相差不远。不幸的是,鉴于过去五年中每年亏损10%,去年的表现比本已糟糕的长期记录有所恶化。要扭转这一趋势,公司可能需要基本业绩的实质性改善。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们已经确定了郑州银行的两个警告信号(其中一个不太适合我们),你应该注意这些信号。

Of course Bank of Zhengzhou may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,郑州银行可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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