Is Gree Real EstateLtd (SHSE:600185) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Gree Real EstateLtd (SHSE:600185) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Gree Real Estate Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600185) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,格力房地产有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所股票代码:600185)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?
When Is Debt A Problem?
债务何时会成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。
Check out our latest analysis for Gree Real EstateLtd
看看我们对格力房地产有限公司的最新分析
What Is Gree Real EstateLtd's Debt?
格力房地产有限公司的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Gree Real EstateLtd had CN¥13.2b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥17.8b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.90b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥11.3b.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示格力房地产有限公司在2023年9月的债务为132亿元人民币,低于一年前的178亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有19.0亿元的现金,净负债约为113亿元人民币。
A Look At Gree Real EstateLtd's Liabilities
看看格力房地产有限公司的负债
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gree Real EstateLtd had liabilities of CN¥15.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥7.27b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.90b and CN¥298.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥20.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,格力房地产有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为154亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为72.7亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的19.0亿元现金和价值2.981亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出204亿元人民币。
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥12.4b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Gree Real EstateLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Gree Real EstateLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
这一赤字给这家124亿元人民币的公司蒙上了阴影,就像一个耸立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。归根结底,如果其债权人要求还款,格力房地产有限公司可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是格力房地产有限公司的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。
In the last year Gree Real EstateLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.8%, to CN¥4.0b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
去年,格力房地产有限公司在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但设法将其收入增长了7.8%,达到40亿元人民币。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的发展。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Gree Real EstateLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥1.6b at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥3.2b. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Gree Real EstateLtd (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
重要的是,格力房地产有限公司去年出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在息税前利润水平上,它损失了16亿加元人民币。当我们将其与巨额负债一起看时,我们对公司并不特别有信心。在对股票过于感兴趣之前,我们希望看到一些强劲的短期改善。例如,我们不希望看到去年32亿元人民币的亏损重演。在那之前,我们认为这是一只风险股票。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了Gree Real EstateLtd的4个警告标志(其中1个不容忽视!)你应该知道。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。