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COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong)'s (HKG:517) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Notable Shareholder Returns

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong)'s (HKG:517) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Notable Shareholder Returns

中远海运国际(香港)(HKG: 517)的三年收益增长落后于显著的股东回报
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 17:59

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. (HKG:517) share price is up 42% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 35% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 40% in the last year , including dividends .

通过购买指数基金,投资者可以估算出平均市场回报率。但是,如果你选择有实力的个股,你可以获得丰厚的回报。例如,中远海运国际(香港)有限公司(HKG: 517)的股价在过去三年中上涨了42%,明显超过了市场跌幅约35%(不包括股息)。但是,最近的回报并不那么令人印象深刻,该股去年的回报率仅为40%,包括股息。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在连续7天表现稳健的背景下,让我们来看看公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。

Check out our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong)

查看我们对中远海运国际(香港)的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During three years of share price growth, COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) achieved compound earnings per share growth of 20% per year. The average annual share price increase of 12% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 9.52 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.

在三年的股价增长中,中远海运国际(香港)实现了每年20%的复合每股收益增长。12%的平均年股价涨幅实际上低于每股收益的增长。因此,随着时间的推移,投资者似乎对该公司变得更加谨慎了。我们认为,9.52的低市盈率也反映了该股的负面情绪。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:517 Earnings Per Share Growth January 29th 2024
SEHK: 517 每股收益增长 2024 年 1 月 29 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) the TSR over the last 3 years was 92%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,中远海运国际(香港)过去3年的股东总回报率为92%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 40% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) that you should be aware of.

很高兴看到中远海运国际(香港)在过去十二个月中向股东提供了40%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这比五年来13%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了中远海运国际(香港)的1个警告标志,你应该注意这一点。

But note: COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:中远海运国际(香港)可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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