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Neusoft (SHSE:600718) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Neusoft (SHSE:600718) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

东软(SHSE: 600718)有债务但没有收益;你应该担心吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 19:18

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Neusoft Corporation (SHSE:600718) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,东软公司(SHSE: 600718)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东才能控制债务。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资金以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可能是一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Neusoft

查看我们对东软的最新分析

What Is Neusoft's Net Debt?

东软的净负债是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Neusoft had CN¥1.08b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.41b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.33b net cash position.

您可以点击下图查看更多详细信息,该图表显示,东软在2023年9月有10.8亿元人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同。但另一方面,它也有24.1亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为13.3亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600718 Debt to Equity History January 30th 2024
SHSE: 600718 2024 年 1 月 30 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Neusoft's Liabilities

看看东软的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Neusoft had liabilities of CN¥8.52b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.18b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.41b in cash and CN¥2.25b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.03b.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,东软的负债为85.2亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为11.8亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有24.1亿元的现金和22.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额50.3亿元人民币。

Neusoft has a market capitalization of CN¥9.75b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Neusoft boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Neusoft can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

东软的市值为97.5亿元人民币,因此,如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。尽管负债巨大,但东软拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定东软能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Neusoft wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 13%, to CN¥10b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,东软在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但成功将其收入增长了13%,达到100亿元人民币。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的发展。

So How Risky Is Neusoft?

那么东软的风险有多大?

Although Neusoft had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥223m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Neusoft's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

尽管东软在过去十二个月中出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损,但它创造了2.23亿元人民币的正自由现金流。因此,从面值来看,考虑到净现金状况,我们认为该股在短期内风险不大。在我们看到息税前利润为正数之前,我们对该股持谨慎态度,尤其是因为收入增长相当温和。当我们研究一家风险较高的公司时,我们喜欢检查他们的利润(或亏损)随着时间的推移而呈现的趋势。今天,我们向读者提供这张交互式图表,显示东软的利润、收入和运营现金流在过去几年中发生了怎样的变化。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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