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Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000869)股票下跌:基本面不佳是原因吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 21:57

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) has had a rough three months with its share price down 17%. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. In this article, we decided to focus on Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE.

烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒(深圳证券交易所代码:000869)经历了艰难的三个月,股价下跌了17%。为了决定这种趋势能否持续下去,我们决定研究其疲软的基本面,因为它们塑造了长期市场趋势。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注烟台张裕先锋酒业的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

See our latest analysis for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine

查看我们对烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is:

因此,根据上述公式,烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的投资回报率为:

3.9% = CN¥425m ÷ CN¥11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

3.9% = 4.25亿元人民币 ÷ 110亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回报” 是企业去年获得的收入。另一种思考方式是,公司每拥有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.04元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

烟台张裕先锋酒业的收益增长和3.9%的投资回报率

It is hard to argue that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 13%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's five year net income decline of 22% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很难说烟台张裕先锋酒业的投资回报率本身就非常好。不仅如此,即使与行业平均水平的13%相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。出于这个原因,鉴于烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的投资回报率较低,其五年净收入下降了22%,这并不奇怪。但是,可能还有其他因素导致收益下降。例如,该企业的资本分配不佳,或者该公司的派息率非常高。

So, as a next step, we compared Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 18% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将烟台张裕先锋酒业的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以18%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000869 Past Earnings Growth January 30th 2024
SZSE: 000869 过去的收益增长 2024 年 1 月 30 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。如果你想知道烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的估值,可以看看这个衡量烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒是否在有效使用其留存收益?

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 62% (or a retention ratio of 38%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的收益下降并不奇怪,因为该公司将大部分利润用于支付股息,其三年派息率中位数为62%(或留存率为38%)。该企业只剩下少量资金可供再投资——从长远来看,这种恶性循环对公司没有好处。您可以访问我们的 2 种风险来查看我们为烟台张裕先锋酒业确定的 2 种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

Additionally, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,烟台张裕先锋酒业已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着即使收益增长微乎其微,公司的管理层也决心派发股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

总体而言,烟台张裕先锋酒业的表现相当令人失望。由于投资回报率低且缺乏对该业务的再投资,该公司的收益增长率令人失望。到目前为止,我们仅就公司的收益增长进行了简短的讨论。因此,可能值得查看这张烟台张裕先锋酒业过去的收益以及收入和现金流的免费详细图表,以更深入地了解该公司的业绩。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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