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Investing in ONEOK (NYSE:OKE) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 109% Gain

Investing in ONEOK (NYSE:OKE) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 109% Gain

三年前投资ONEOK(纽约证券交易所代码:OKE)将为您带来109%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  01/30 08:41

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE:OKE) shareholders have seen the share price rise 74% over three years, well in excess of the market return (15%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 9.7% in the last year , including dividends .

通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但是,如果你选择正确的个股,你的收入可能不止于此。例如,ONEOK, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:OKE)股东的股价在三年内上涨了74%,远远超过了市场回报率(15%,不包括股息)。但是,最近的回报并不那么令人印象深刻,该股去年的回报率仅为9.7%,包括股息。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去3年的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报步调一致。

Check out our latest analysis for ONEOK

看看我们对ONEOK的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During three years of share price growth, ONEOK achieved compound earnings per share growth of 42% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 20% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

在三年的股价增长中,ONEOK实现了每年42%的复合每股收益增长。每股收益的增长高于股价平均年增长20%。因此,随着时间的推移,投资者似乎对该公司变得更加谨慎了。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到 EPS 随时间推移的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:OKE Earnings Per Share Growth January 30th 2024
纽约证券交易所:OKE 每股收益增长 2024 年 1 月 30 日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free interactive report on ONEOK's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们认为,内部人士在去年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。即便如此,未来的收益对于当前股东是否赚钱将更为重要。如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于ONEOK收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of ONEOK, it has a TSR of 109% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就ONEOK而言,在过去的3年中,其股东回报率为109%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

ONEOK shareholders gained a total return of 9.7% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 8% over half a decade This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - ONEOK has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

ONEOK股东在年度的总回报率为9.7%。但是这种回报不及市场。好的一面是,这仍然是一个收益,实际上比五年来8%的平均回报率要好。这可能表明该公司在推行其战略的过程中正在赢得新投资者的青睐。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,冒险吧——ONEOK有3个警告标志(还有一个有点不愉快),我们认为你应该知道。

ONEOK is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

ONEOK并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。对于那些喜欢寻找获利投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费清单可能就是入场券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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