Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc. (SHSE:688265) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 46% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Model Organisms Center's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Life Sciences industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Model Organisms Center
What Does Shanghai Model Organisms Center's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Model Organisms Center over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Model Organisms Center would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 81% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Model Organisms Center's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Shanghai Model Organisms Center's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we've seen, Shanghai Model Organisms Center's three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
Having said that, be aware Shanghai Model Organisms Center is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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