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Northeast Securities (SZSE:000686) Shareholders Have Lost 22% Over 3 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit

Northeast Securities (SZSE:000686) Shareholders Have Lost 22% Over 3 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit

东北证券(SZSE: 000686)股东在3年内损失了22%,收益下降可能是罪魁祸首
Simply Wall St ·  01/31 19:08

Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the Northeast Securities Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000686) share price is down 25% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -22%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 27%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 10% in the last 90 days. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 12% in the same period.

当投资者拥有的股票价值下跌时,他们会感到失望,这是可以理解的。但是,当整个市场下跌时,很难避免一些令人失望的投资。尽管东北证券有限公司(SZSE: 000686)的股价在过去三年中下跌了25%,但股东总回报率(包括股息)为-22%。而总回报率实际上超过了27%的市场跌幅。股东们最近的表现更加艰难,股价在过去90天中下跌了10%。但这可能与疲软的市场有关,同期市场下跌了12%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

View our latest analysis for Northeast Securities

查看我们对东北证券的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Northeast Securities saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 22% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 9% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in.

在过去三年中,东北证券的每股收益以每年22%的复合速度下降。相比之下,9%的复合年股价下跌幅度没有每股收益的下降那么严重。因此,目前市场可能不太担心每股收益的数字,或者此前可能已经将部分下跌定价了。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000686 Earnings Per Share Growth February 1st 2024
SZSE: 000686 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 1 日

Dive deeper into Northeast Securities' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Northeast Securities's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看这张东北证券收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解东北证券的关键指标。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Northeast Securities the TSR over the last 3 years was -22%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,东北证券过去3年的股东总回报率为-22%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Northeast Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 4.7% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 21%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.8%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Northeast Securities you should be aware of.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但东北证券的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的4.7%亏损没有21%左右的市场亏损那么严重。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚0.8%。在最好的情况下,去年只是通往更光明未来之旅中的一个暂时阶段。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的东北证券的一个警告信号。

Of course Northeast Securities may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,东北证券可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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