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Qingdao Citymedia Co,. Ltd.'s (SHSE:600229) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Qingdao Citymedia Co,. Ltd.'s (SHSE:600229) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

青岛城市媒体有限公司有限公司。's(SHSE: 600229)股票最近表现疲软,但财务前景看起来不错:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/01 22:41

Qingdao Citymedia Co (SHSE:600229) has had a rough month with its share price down 16%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Qingdao Citymedia Co's ROE in this article.

青岛城市媒体有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600229)经历了艰难的一个月,其股价下跌了16%。但是,如果你密切关注,你可能会发现其关键财务指标看起来相当不错,考虑到市场通常会奖励更具弹性的长期基本面,这可能意味着该股有可能在长期内上涨。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究青岛城市媒体公司的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Qingdao Citymedia Co is:

因此,根据上述公式,青岛城市媒体公司的投资回报率为:

11% = CN¥346m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

11% = 3.46亿元人民币 ÷ 31亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.11 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。另一种看法是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就能获得0.11元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Qingdao Citymedia Co's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

青岛城市媒体公司的收益增长和11%的投资回报率的并排比较

To begin with, Qingdao Citymedia Co seems to have a respectable ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 6.1% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. As you might expect, the 4.1% net income decline reported by Qingdao Citymedia Co is a bit of a surprise. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,青岛城市媒体有限公司的投资回报率似乎不错。与6.1%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。正如你所预料的那样,青岛城市媒体有限公司报告的净收入下降了4.1%,这有点令人惊讶。基于此,我们认为可能还有其他原因本文迄今尚未讨论过,这些原因可能会阻碍公司的发展。例如,可能是该公司的派息率很高,或者企业的资本配置不当。

That being said, we compared Qingdao Citymedia Co's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.6% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将青岛城市媒体公司的业绩与行业进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在5年同期的收益增长了1.6%,这让我们感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600229 Past Earnings Growth February 2nd 2024
SHSE: 600229 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 2 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Qingdao Citymedia Co is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查青岛城市媒体股份有限公司相对于其行业的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Qingdao Citymedia Co Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

青岛城市媒体有限公司是否在有效地将其利润再投资?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 41% (or a retention ratio of 59%) which is pretty normal, Qingdao Citymedia Co's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

从其三年中位数派息率41%(或59%的留存率)来看,这很正常,青岛城市媒体公司收益的下降相当令人困惑,因为当一家公司保留很大一部分利润时,人们预计会出现相当大的增长。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Qingdao Citymedia Co has paid dividends over a period of eight years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,青岛城市媒体公司已在八年内派发了股息,这意味着无论收益如何萎缩,该公司的管理层都相当专注于维持股息支付。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Qingdao Citymedia Co certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们认为青岛城市媒体有限公司确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。但是,低收益增长有点令人担忧,特别是考虑到该公司的回报率很高,并且正在将很大一部分利润再投资。从表面上看,可能还有其他一些因素阻碍了增长,这些因素不一定是业务的控制。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的收益增长率将大幅提高。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份免费的分析师预测报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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