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Optimism Around Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 15% This Past Week

Optimism Around Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 15% This Past Week

由于上周股价下跌15%,对上海交云集团(SHSE: 600676)实现新收益增长的乐观情绪可能会萎缩
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 00:37

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600676) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 15% over a half decade. It's down 19% in about a month. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 13% in the same time.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。因此,我们不会责怪上海交云集团有限公司(SHSE: 600676)的长期股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了15%。它在大约一个月内下降了19%。但这可能与糟糕的市场状况有关——股市同时下跌了13%。

With the stock having lost 15% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由于该股在过去一周下跌了15%,值得一看业务表现,看看是否有任何危险信号。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Shanghai Jiao Yun Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

在五年的股价增长中,上海交云集团从亏损转为盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

Arguably, the revenue drop of 11% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.

可以说,五年来每年收入下降11%,这表明该公司无法长期增长。这可以解释股价疲软的原因。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600676 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 2nd 2024
SHSE: 600676 2024 年 2 月 2 日收益和收入增长

Take a more thorough look at Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解上海交云集团的财务状况。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么股东总回报(TSR)呢?

We've already covered Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Shanghai Jiao Yun Group shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 12%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

我们已经报道了上海交云集团的股价走势,但我们也应该提及其股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率试图捕捉股息(就好像它们被再投资一样)以及向股东提供的任何分拆或折扣资本筹集的价值。分红确实为上海交云集团的股东带来了好处,这笔现金支付解释了为什么其在过去5年中12%的股东总亏损没有股价回报率那么糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group shares lost 9.6% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 25%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管上海交运集团股价全年下跌9.6%确实令人失望,但这还不如25%的市场跌幅那么糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中2%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管罗斯柴尔德男爵确实告诉投资者 “街上有血时买入,即使血液是你自己的”,但买家需要仔细检查数据,以确定业务本身是健全的。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向上海交云集团确定了两个警告信号(至少有一个有点令人担忧),了解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

We will like Shanghai Jiao Yun Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些重大的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢上海交云集团。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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