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Are Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600620) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

Are Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600620) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

上海天辰股份有限公司吗, Ltd (SHSE: 600620) 鉴于该股最近的疲软,其基本面足以值得买入?
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 19:35

Shanghai TianchenLtd (SHSE:600620) has had a rough three months with its share price down 18%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE in this article.

上海天辰有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600620)经历了艰难的三个月,其股价下跌了18%。但是,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势一致。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究上海天辰有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai TianchenLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海天辰有限公司的投资回报率为:

5.9% = CN¥122m ÷ CN¥2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

5.9% = 1.22亿元人民币 ÷ 21亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着公司每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.06元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Shanghai TianchenLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.9% ROE

上海天辰有限公司的收益增长和5.9%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 4.7% which we definitely can't overlook. But seeing Shanghai TianchenLtd's five year net income decline of 6.9% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

从表面上看,上海天辰有限公司的投资回报率没什么好谈的。尽管一项更仔细的研究表明,该公司的投资回报率高于行业平均水平的4.7%,但我们绝对不能忽视。但是,鉴于上海天辰有限公司在过去五年中五年净收入下降了6.9%,我们可能会重新考虑这个问题。请记住,该公司的投资回报率一开始有点低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,这在某种程度上解释了收益的萎缩。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai TianchenLtd's earnings seems to be shrinking at a similar rate as the industry which shrunk at a rate of a rate of 6.9% in the same period.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现上海天辰有限公司的收益萎缩速度似乎与同期该行业的萎缩速度相似,后者以6.9%的速度萎缩。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600620 Past Earnings Growth February 3rd 2024
SHSE: 600620 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 3 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Shanghai TianchenLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。如果你想知道上海天辰有限公司的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is Shanghai TianchenLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海天辰股份有限公司是否在有效利用其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 26% (where it is retaining 74% of its profits), Shanghai TianchenLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为26%(保留了74%的利润),但如上所示,上海天辰有限公司的收益却有所下降。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Shanghai TianchenLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,上海天辰有限公司已经派发了至少十年的股息,这意味着即使收益增长微乎其微,公司的管理层也决心派发股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that Shanghai TianchenLtd has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Shanghai TianchenLtd.

总的来说,我们确实认为上海天辰有限公司有一些积极的属性。但是,尽管投资回报率适中,再投资率很高,但我们仍然对收益缺乏增长感到失望。我们认为,可能会有一些外部因素对业务产生负面影响。虽然我们不会完全解散公司,但我们要做的是努力确定业务的风险,以便在公司周围做出更明智的决定。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为上海天辰股份有限公司确定的第一种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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