Is Anhui Tatfook Technology (SZSE:300134) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Anhui Tatfook Technology (SZSE:300134) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Anhui Tatfook Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:300134) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到,安徽大富科技股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:300134)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可能是企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。
What Is Anhui Tatfook Technology's Net Debt?
安徽大富科技的净负债是多少?
As you can see below, Anhui Tatfook Technology had CN¥617.0m of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥859.0m in cash, so it actually has CN¥242.0m net cash.
如下所示,截至2023年9月,安徽大富科技有6.17亿元人民币的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有8.59亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有2.42亿元人民币的净现金。
How Healthy Is Anhui Tatfook Technology's Balance Sheet?
安徽大富科技的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Anhui Tatfook Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.30b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥457.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥859.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥793.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥104.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据上次报告的资产负债表,安徽大富科技在12个月内到期的负债为13.0亿元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为4.572亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有8.59亿元人民币的现金以及价值7.939亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出1.049亿元人民币。
Of course, Anhui Tatfook Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥5.17b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Anhui Tatfook Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Anhui Tatfook Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
当然,安徽大富科技的市值为517亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管负债可观,但安徽大富科技拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是安徽大富科技的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。
Over 12 months, Anhui Tatfook Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥2.4b, which is a fall of 12%. We would much prefer see growth.
在过去的12个月中,安徽大富科技在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至24亿元人民币,下降了12%。我们更希望看到增长。
So How Risky Is Anhui Tatfook Technology?
那么安徽大富科技的风险有多大?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Anhui Tatfook Technology lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥450m of cash and made a loss of CN¥2.0m. However, it has net cash of CN¥242.0m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. For riskier companies like Anhui Tatfook Technology I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
从统计学上讲,亏损的公司比赚钱的公司风险更大。事实是,在过去的十二个月中,安徽大富科技的息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在那段时间里,它烧毁了4.5亿加元的现金,损失了200万元人民币。但是,它的净现金为2.42亿元人民币,因此在需要更多资金之前还有一段时间。总而言之,我们对这个有点怀疑,因为在没有自由现金流的情况下,这似乎相当危险。对于像安徽大富科技这样的风险较高的公司,我总是喜欢关注长期的利润和收入趋势。幸运的是,您可以点击查看我们的利润、收入和运营现金流的交互式图表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。
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