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Is The Market Rewarding Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000407) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

Is The Market Rewarding Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000407) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

由于基本面喜忧参半,市场是否以负面情绪回报山东胜利股份有限公司(SZSE: 000407)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 21:24

With its stock down 20% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Shandong Shengli (SZSE:000407). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Specifically, we decided to study Shandong Shengli's ROE in this article.

由于其股票在过去一个月中下跌了20%,很容易被忽视(深圳证券交易所代码:000407)。但是,我们决定研究公司的财务状况,以确定它们是否与价格下跌有关。长期基本面通常是推动市场结果的因素,因此值得密切关注。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究山东胜利的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shandong Shengli is:

因此,根据上述公式,山东胜利的投资回报率为:

4.5% = CN¥144m ÷ CN¥3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.5% = 1.44亿元人民币 ÷ 32亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.05元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Shandong Shengli's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

山东胜利的收益增长和4.5%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Shandong Shengli's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Shandong Shengli's five year net income decline of 6.6% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很明显,山东胜利的投资回报率相当低。即使与行业平均水平的9.3%相比,投资回报率的数字也相当令人失望。出于这个原因,鉴于其投资回报率较低,山东胜利五年净收入下降6.6%并不奇怪。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如——收益留存率低或资本配置不善。

That being said, we compared Shandong Shengli's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 5.6% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将山东胜利的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在5年同期以5.6%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000407 Past Earnings Growth February 3rd 2024
SZSE: 000407 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 3 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shandong Shengli's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。无论情况如何,投资者都应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。如果你想知道山东胜利的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Shandong Shengli Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

山东胜利是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Shandong Shengli's low three-year median payout ratio of 12% (or a retention ratio of 88%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

山东胜利在过去三年中低的三年派息率中位数为12%(或88%的留存率),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益来推动增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经萎缩。当公司保留大部分收益时,通常不应出现这种情况。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

In addition, Shandong Shengli has been paying dividends over a period of eight years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,山东胜利已经派发了八年的股息,这表明尽管收益有所下降,但管理层仍倾向于继续支付股息。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shandong Shengli's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Shandong Shengli.

总的来说,我们对山东胜利的表现有点矛盾。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为山东胜利确定的1种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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