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Pulling Back 11% This Week, Ares Commercial Real Estate's NYSE:ACRE) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 11% This Week, Ares Commercial Real Estate's NYSE:ACRE) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

本周Ares商业地产(纽约证券交易所代码:ACRE)的五年收益下降了11%,这可能会成为投资者的关注焦点
Simply Wall St ·  02/03 07:41

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE:ACRE) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 35% over a half decade. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 11%.

对于许多人来说,投资的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。因此,我们不会责怪阿瑞斯商业房地产公司(纽约证券交易所代码:ACRE)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在五年内下跌了35%。上周股价还下跌了11%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Ares Commercial Real Estate's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 45% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 8% compound annual share price fall. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around. With a P/E ratio of 145.08, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

在股价下跌的五年中,阿瑞斯商业地产的每股收益(EPS)每年下降45%。每股收益的下降比8%的复合年股价下跌还要严重。股价反应相对平淡,可能是因为市场预计业务将好转。市盈率为145.08,可以公平地说,市场看到了该业务更光明的未来。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:ACRE Earnings Per Share Growth February 3rd 2024
纽约证券交易所:ACRE 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 3 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Ares Commercial Real Estate's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官要低得多。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。可能值得一看我们关于阿瑞斯商业地产收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Ares Commercial Real Estate's TSR for the last 5 years was 16%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,Ares商业地产在过去5年的股东总回报率为16%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 19% in the last year, Ares Commercial Real Estate shareholders lost 15% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Ares Commercial Real Estate is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are significant...

尽管去年整体市场上涨了约19%,但Ares商业地产的股东损失了15%(甚至包括股息)。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。好的一面是,长期股东赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长3%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。即便如此,请注意,在我们的投资分析中,Ares商业地产显示出5个警告信号,其中2个信号很重要...

But note: Ares Commercial Real Estate may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:阿瑞斯商业地产可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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