To the annoyance of some shareholders, Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:688556) shares are down a considerable 30% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 56% loss during that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, Qingdao Gaoce Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times have been pleasing for Qingdao Gaoce Technology as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Qingdao Gaoce Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 205%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 1,257% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.5% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 42% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Qingdao Gaoce Technology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Qingdao Gaoce Technology's P/E?
Shares in Qingdao Gaoce Technology have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Qingdao Gaoce Technology maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Qingdao Gaoce Technology has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Qingdao Gaoce Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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