When close to half the companies in the Airlines industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, you may consider Juneyao Airlines Co., Ltd (SHSE:603885) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Has Juneyao Airlines Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Juneyao Airlines has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Juneyao Airlines will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Juneyao Airlines would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 93% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 61% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 35% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 24%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Juneyao Airlines' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Juneyao Airlines' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Juneyao Airlines that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.