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Investors in SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Have Unfortunately Lost 32% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Have Unfortunately Lost 32% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,SolarWinds(纽约证券交易所代码:SWI)的投资者在过去五年中损失了32%
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 19:25

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI), since the last five years saw the share price fall 67%.

选股的主要目的是寻找市场领先的股票。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。目前,一些股东可能会质疑他们对SolarWinds公司(纽约证券交易所代码:SWI)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了67%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

We know that SolarWinds has been profitable in the past. On the other hand, it reported a trailing twelve months loss, suggesting it isn't reliably profitable. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

我们知道SolarWinds过去一直盈利。另一方面,它报告了过去十二个月的亏损,这表明它无法可靠地盈利。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

Arguably, the revenue drop of 4.0% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. This has probably encouraged some shareholders to sell down the stock.

可以说,五年来每年收入下降4.0%,这表明该公司无法长期增长。这可能鼓励了一些股东抛售该股。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:SWI Earnings and Revenue Growth February 5th 2024
纽约证券交易所:SWI 收益和收入增长 2024 年 2 月 5 日

If you are thinking of buying or selling SolarWinds stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考虑买入或卖出SolarWinds股票,则应在其资产负债表上查看这份免费的详细报告。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么股东总回报(TSR)呢?

We've already covered SolarWinds' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. SolarWinds hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -32% exceeds its share price return of -67%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.

我们已经报道了SolarWinds的股价走势,但我们还应该提及其股东总回报率(TSR)。可以说,股东总回报率是一种更完整的回报计算方法,因为它考虑了股息的价值(就好像是再投资一样),以及向股东提供的任何贴现资本的假设价值。SolarWinds尚未派发股息,但其股东回报率为-32%,超过了-67%的股价回报率,这意味着它要么分拆了业务,要么以折扣价筹集了资金;从而为股东提供了额外价值。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

SolarWinds provided a TSR of 15% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 6% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with SolarWinds , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

在过去的十二个月中,SolarWinds的股东回报率为15%。但这低于市场平均水平。好的一面是,这仍然是一个收益,而且肯定比五年来每年遭受的约6%的损失要好。因此,这可能表明该企业已经扭转了命运。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确定了SolarWinds的1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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