The Guilin Seamild Foods Co., Ltd (SZSE:002956) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 35% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Guilin Seamild Foods' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Guilin Seamild Foods has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
SZSE:002956 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guilin Seamild Foods will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guilin Seamild Foods would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 41% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 20% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 40% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Guilin Seamild Foods' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Guilin Seamild Foods' P/E?
Guilin Seamild Foods' P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Guilin Seamild Foods' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guilin Seamild Foods you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Guilin Seamild Foods. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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