To the annoyance of some shareholders, MLS Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002745) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 31% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, MLS' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Semiconductor industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.5x and even P/S above 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
SZSE:002745 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024
What Does MLS' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, MLS' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MLS will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as MLS' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.7%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 21% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 35% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why MLS' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Having almost fallen off a cliff, MLS' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that MLS maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for MLS you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of MLS' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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