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Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603868) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603868) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

上海飞科电器有限公司's(SHSE: 603868)股票最近表现疲软,但财务前景看起来不错:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 19:35

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's (SHSE:603868) recent performance, when its stock has declined 22% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's ROE in this article.

看了上海飞科电器(SHSE: 603868)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时的股票在过去三个月中下跌了22%。但是,如果你密切关注,你可能会发现其关键财务指标看起来相当不错,考虑到市场通常会奖励更具弹性的长期基本面,这可能意味着该股有可能在长期内上涨。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究上海飞科电器的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海飞科电器的投资回报率为:

27% = CN¥908m ÷ CN¥3.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

27% = 9.08亿元人民币 ÷ 34亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.27 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着,每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.27元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

上海飞科电器的收益增长和27%的投资回报率

To begin with, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 11% which is quite remarkable. Despite this, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 2.9%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. Such a scenario is likely to take place when a company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,上海飞科电器的投资回报率相当高,这很有趣。此外,该公司的投资回报率高于行业平均水平的11%,这非常引人注目。尽管如此,上海飞科电器五年的净收入增长还是相当低的,平均仅为2.9%。对于一家回报率如此之高的公司来说,这有点出乎意料。当一家公司将其收益的很大一部分作为股息支付,或者面临竞争压力时,可能会发生这种情况。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 7.8% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现上海飞科电器报告的增长低于过去几年7.8%的行业增长,这不是我们希望看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603868 Past Earnings Growth February 6th 2024
SHSE: 603868 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 6 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 603868? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。市场对603868的未来展望进行了定价吗?你可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海飞科电器是否有效地将利润再投资?

Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has a three-year median payout ratio of 68% (implying that it keeps only 32% of its profits), meaning that it pays out most of its profits to shareholders as dividends, and as a result, the company has seen low earnings growth.

上海飞科电器的三年派息率中位数为68%(这意味着它仅保留了32%的利润),这意味着它将大部分利润作为股息支付给股东,因此,该公司的收益增长缓慢。

Moreover, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 57% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 31%.

此外,上海飞科电器已经派发股息七年了,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司预计将在未来三年内继续支付约57%的利润。因此,预计该公司未来的投资回报率也不会有太大变化,分析师预计投资回报率为31%。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体而言,我们认为上海飞科电器确实有一些积极因素需要考虑。但是,尽管投资回报率很高,但我们对收益仍缺乏增长感到失望。请记住,该公司将一小部分利润进行再投资,这意味着投资者没有从高回报率中受益。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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