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Is Tatwah SmartechLtd (SZSE:002512) A Risky Investment?

Is Tatwah SmartechLtd (SZSE:002512) A Risky Investment?

Tatwah SmartechLtd(深圳证券交易所:002512)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 21:07

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Tatwah Smartech Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002512) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,Tatwah Smartech Co., Ltd.(深圳证券交易所:002512)使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地很好地管理债务,而且有利于自己的利益。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Tatwah SmartechLtd's Net Debt?

Tatwah SmartechLtd 的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Tatwah SmartechLtd had debt of CN¥731.5m, up from CN¥565.8m in one year. However, it also had CN¥179.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥551.9m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,Tatwah SmartechLtd的债务为7.315亿加元,高于一年内的5.658亿元人民币。但是,它也有1.796亿元的现金,因此其净负债为5.519亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002512 Debt to Equity History February 6th 2024
SZSE: 002512 2024 年 2 月 6 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At Tatwah SmartechLtd's Liabilities

看看 Tatwah SmartechLtd 的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tatwah SmartechLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.16b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥945.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥179.6m and CN¥696.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.23b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,Tatwah SmartechLtd的负债为21.6亿元人民币,其后到期的负债为9.457亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的1.796亿元现金和价值6.967亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出22.3亿元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tatwah SmartechLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥3.74b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tatwah SmartechLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为Tatwah SmartechLtd的市值为37.4亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为Tatwah SmartechLtd需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Tatwah SmartechLtd reported revenue of CN¥2.0b, which is a gain of 35%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

在过去的12个月中,Tatwah SmartechLtd公布的收入为20亿元人民币,增长了35%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。运气好的话,该公司将能够实现盈利。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Tatwah SmartechLtd's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥50m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥1.5b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tatwah SmartechLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管我们当然可以理解Tatwah SmartechLTD的收入增长,但其息税前收益(EBIT)亏损并不理想。事实上,它在息税前利润水平上损失了5000万元人民币。考虑到除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管可以随着时间的推移而改善。另一个需要谨慎的原因是,在过去的十二个月中,自由现金流为负15亿元人民币。因此,只要说我们认为这只股票风险很高就足够了。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经向Tatwah SmartechLtd确定了两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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