4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Grandblue Environment (SHSE:600323) Shareholders Over That Period
4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Grandblue Environment (SHSE:600323) Shareholders Over That Period
No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600323) share price is down 31% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -28%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 31%. Furthermore, it's down 16% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 21% in the same period.
当他们在股票上亏损时,没有人会喜欢它。但是,当整个市场下跌时,很难避免一些令人失望的投资。尽管Grandblue环境有限公司(SHSE: 600323)的股价在过去三年中下跌了31%,但股东总回报率(包括股息)为-28%。而总回报率实际上超过了31%的市场跌幅。此外,它在大约一个季度内下降了16%。对于持有者来说,这没什么好玩的。但这可能与疲软的市场有关,同期市场下跌了21%。
After losing 6.4% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在上周下跌6.4%之后,值得调查该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Grandblue Environment actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 13% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在不幸的三年股价下跌中,Grandblue Environment的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长13%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。
With a rather small yield of just 1.5% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 20% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Grandblue Environment further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
由于收益率相当低,仅为1.5%,我们怀疑该股的股价是否基于其股息。在过去的三年中,收入实际上增长了20%,因此股价下跌似乎也不取决于收入。可能值得进一步研究Grandblue Environment;尽管我们在分析中可能遗漏了一些东西,但也可能有机会。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。
We know that Grandblue Environment has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
我们知道Grandblue Environment最近提高了利润,但是未来会发生什么?因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Grandblue Environment's TSR for the last 3 years was -28%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,Grandblue Environment在过去3年的股东总回报率为-28%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While it's never nice to take a loss, Grandblue Environment shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 18% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 28%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.6%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Grandblue Environment you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但Grandblue Environment的股东们可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的18%亏损没有28%左右的市场亏损那么严重。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚0.6%。可能是该企业正面临一些短期问题,但股东应密切关注基本面。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。一个很好的例子:我们已经发现了两个你应该注意的Grandblue环境警告信号,其中一个不容忽视。
Of course Grandblue Environment may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,Grandblue环境可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。